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70% rule calculator, checked against the full math

The 70% rule says pay no more than 70% of ARV minus repairs. It is fast, and sometimes wrong. This calculator gives you the 70% number, then runs the full flip math at that price so you can see whether the rule leaves you a real profit.

70% rule calculator

Start from an example

A 10% contingency is added

70% rule max price

$160,500

Good deal

Full-math max offer

$170,000

Profit if you pay the rule price

$46,401

Margin on ARV at that price

15.5%

Rule on rehab without contingency

$165,000

Rule price = percent of ARV minus rehab with a 10% contingency. The full-math max offer clears a $30,000 profit and a 12% margin with hard money (11%, 2 points), state closing costs, carry and selling costs. Not a quote.

Run the full analysis

Comps, rehab, refi and a verdict for a real address. Your numbers come with you.

How to use it

  1. Enter ARV and rehab

    The after repair value from sold comps and your rehab budget. A 10% contingency is added to the rehab.

  2. Pick the percent

    70% is the classic rule. Some investors use 65% in slow markets or 75% to 80% on higher-priced houses.

  3. Compare the two answers

    If the full-math max offer is lower than the 70% number, the rule is too generous for this house.

Free here, deeper in the app

This free calculator

  • The 70% max price, on rehab with a 10% contingency
  • The same rule on rehab without contingency, for comparison
  • The full-math max offer for a $30,000 profit and a 12% margin
  • Profit, margin and a verdict if you pay the rule price

Run The Deal app

  • A max offer that adjusts the rule for price tier and days on market
  • Your own minimum profit and margin targets
  • Stress tests: ARV down 10%, rehab up 20%, a longer hold
  • Comps behind the ARV, with every adjustment shown

The 70% rule against the full math

The rule hides a lot of costs inside that 30%: buy closing, loan points and interest, taxes and insurance while you hold, commission and concessions when you sell, and the profit you want. On some houses that 30% is plenty. On others it is not.

The calculator's default deal, VA, hard money, 4 rehab months
MeasureResult
ARV$300,000
Rehab with contingency$49,500
70% rule price$160,500
Full-math max offer ($30,000 profit, 12% margin)$170,000
Profit if you pay $160,500About $46,400

Here the rule is a little conservative: the full math would let you pay up to $170,000 and still clear both targets. Change the ARV to $140,000 with $35,000 of rehab and the picture flips, because the fixed costs do not shrink with the house.

Read the full guide: the 70% rule, and when to break it.

Questions

What is the 70% rule?

A quick screen for flips: pay no more than 70% of the after repair value minus the cost of repairs. On a $300,000 ARV with $45,000 of repairs, that is $210,000 minus $45,000, or $165,000.

Why does this calculator use rehab with contingency?

Because surprises are part of the rehab. Run The Deal adds a 10% contingency to a typed rehab budget, so the rule here subtracts $49,500, not $45,000, giving $160,500. Both versions are shown.

When is the 70% rule wrong?

On cheap houses, where fixed costs like closing, points and commission eat a bigger share, the rule can leave too little profit. On expensive houses it can be too strict. The full-math number accounts for both.

Learn the terms

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